Is Aaron Rogers washed? After 5 games, he is averaging only 5.85 QCYPA. Last year Zach Wilson, et al. averaged 5.00 QCYPA. Other than against the woeful Patriots, the Jets are averaging 15.75 first downs per game. Last year the average was 15.3. In other words, New York is not sustaining offense and moving the sticks significantly better than last year. Against Minnesota in London on Sunday, Rogers threw 3 picks including a woefully underthrown ball that clinched the win for the Vikings. Robert Saleh’s defense has been tremendous. But unless Rogers starts to look more like Tom Brady at 40 and less like Peyton Manning at 40, the Jets are going to continue to struggle on offense.

My good friend @pulmmatt pointed out it does not “feel like” the 49ers are the fourth-best designed team in the NFL. Here is why: 1) San Francisco has lost to two bottom-10 designed teams, the Rams and the Cardinals, in games in which it was -1 TO and -2 TO; 2) The 49ers’ +4.16% play design differential is down more than 100% from last year’s incredible +9.48%, 3) San Francisco is even in giveaway/takeaway ratio, down from almost +.6 TO per game last year 4) the 49ers schedule as measured by play design differential is the second toughest in the NFL (+0.73%). In other words, even in a down year, Kyle Shannahan still is one of the five best designers in the NFL. If the 49ers can push their TO differential to +.5 TO per game or better, they will be fine. They still look like the class of the NFC West to me.

The Bengals are 1-4 despite ranking 11th in the NFL in play design and being even in TO differential. Every week a play or two has been costly. Against the Baltimore last week, a muffed hold by punter Ryan Rehkow cost them a game-winning field goal. Against Kansas City, it was a scoop and score. Against New England, a TO in the red zone. Against Washington, any one of a handful of 4DNs. The pass rush is almost non-existent (-.155 yards/attempt). If that continues and Joe Burrow et al. keep playing at this high level, they are going to put up big numbers. The schedule (-1.85%) is by far the easiest in the NFL per play design differential. The only positively designed teams left on the slate are the Ravens (+1.33%) and the Cowboys (+0.72%). If the Bengals receive some turnover subsidies from their opponents, they might still turn it around.