Vince Lombardi

QuantCoach.com

INSIDE SPORTS ANALYTICS
with
EDWARD EGROS
(FOX4 - DALLAS)

Follow QuantCoach on Twitter

THE CHALKBOARD

Week 2 Thoughts

As QC suspected, the Rams felt a little too go about themselves after thrashing Indianapolis in the opener and it got them beat by Washington, 27-20. QB Jared Goff was again in good form posting 9.615 QCYPA. But, even though superstar DT Aaron Donald returned to the lineup and Redskins starting RB Fat Robert Kelly left it midway through the game, the Redskins still ran for 229 yards (5.87 per try). It is rare that an NFL team is simply run over by another and Washington hardly looked like a steam-rolling juggernaut in Week 1 against Philadelphia. Rather, QC suspects, Los Angeles was just not ready. It happens, particularly with a young team that his learning to be consistent. There is still much to be optmistic about with the Rams.

********

Before the season began, QC expected Atlanta to significantly regress. It seemed impossible that the Falcons could match their 2016 numbers on offense. But the attack numbers have not fallen. And the defense, particularly the pass rush, has been vastly improved. HC Dan Quinn has the D playing like it did for more than a half in the Super Bowl. Through 2 games, the Falcons pass pressure has taken an average of .724 yards per pass attempt from opposing offenses. That's outstanding. On Sunday night, the D suffocated Green Bay's Aaron Rogers until the game was well in hand (31-7). The only negative is top pass rusher Vic Beasley looks like he will miss a monthy with an injury. It bears watching to see if the Falcons can keep the heat on opposing passers without Beasley or restart the fire when he returns.

********

QC bet the Bears to win the NFC North at 40-1 and though Chicago is 0-2 and got pasted in Tampa Bay, 29-7, it is far too early to give up John Fox and his team. The Bucs had to travel less than 50 yards for their 3 TDs because Chicago turnovers set up Jameis Winston and company in great field position. When Tampa had to drive the field, all Winston could muster was field goals much as Atlanta mostly could only muster field goals in Week 1. Chicago has only forced one takeaway and the Bears cannot win without subisidies from their opponents and turnover-free, efficient production on offense. But Chicago is only 1 game behind division favorites Green Bay and Minnesota and still has all its division games in front of it. It looks bad right now. But the last time QC bet a long-shot, the 2013 Carolina Panthers started 0-2 (including an ugly Week 2 loss to Buffalo, which finished 6-10) before roaring back to win 11 of 12 behind a rugged defense. It probably will not happen again. But it is way to early to give up on Chicago.

********

If it seems like NFL coaches are not very innovative, maybe it is because it could be harder to innovate than it used to be. That is the theory several renowned economic scholars have about a wide variety of industries. In a recent paper, Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?, these scholars found "a wide range of evidence from various industries, products, and firms showing that research effort is rising substantially while research productivity is declining sharply." A few years ago, Pat Kirwan of NFL Network did a rudimentary study that showed teams with the smallest coaching staffs (New England, Pittsburgh, Green Bay) often performed way better than teams with the largest coaching staffs (Buffalo, Jacksonville, Cleveland). "Coaching staffs should be smaller," said Kirwan. "We're in the age of technology. That fact alone should have made these staffs smaller, not bigger. Computers and digitized film are much faster, more accessible, and easier to manipulate than anything we used to do by hand back in the day." It looks like these economists agree with Kirwan.

(Archives Home)

10 Commandments

About QuantCoach

Recipe Equations

WeeklyStatistics

Team Standings

Football Knowledge

YOU MAKE THE CALL:
What game or team would you like the QuantCoach to analyze using QC's coaching statistics? Use Twitter or the headset to send QC a game that you remember or a team that you followed and QC will post an analysis using the QC coaching statistics on the Chalkboard.

Contact QuantCoach

© 2009 QuantCoach.com
QuantCoach.com is not affiliated with the National Football League or any of its members.
The material contained on QuantCoach.com is for entertainment purposes only.