QC's Week 11
Kansas City has won 7 of its last 8 games. During that stretch, Andy Reid's
team has improved its play design differential more than 10% from -9.81% to
+0.65%. A team that takes care of the ball and pressure's the passer like the
Chiefs will always be a hard team to beat. But KC may not have the offensive
play-making necessary to be a legitimate Super Bowl contender in a conference
that features P-Rex Manning, Tom Brady and Andrew Luck. If the Chiefs are off
their control game even a little, they will be shown the playoff door.
When Tennessee fell to Pittsburgh, 27-24, on MNF, it marked just the third time
all year that quarterback (Zach Mettenberg) generated infinite player
productivity and lost. Cleveland's Brian Hoyer fell to Baltimore when the
Browns were not solid in the kicking game and Green Bay's Aaron Rogers lost an
infinte productivity shootout to New Orleans Drew Brees when a couple deflected
balls turned into turnovers. For the season, QBs that generate infinite
productivity are 42-3 (.933).
Speaking of Pittsburgh, oh how the defense of Steelers' coordinator Dick LeBeau
has fallen. Coming into the year, Pittsburgh's D-QCYPA average over the past
five years was a splendid 6.057. This year that number is a miserable 7.911.
The D is injured, old and just flat out pretty bad. The Steelers survived the
woeful Titans. But it is unlikely they can do much in playoffs.
Every team in the NFC North has a postive play design differential and only
Pittsburgh has a negative turnover differential. Every team in the AFC South
has a negative turnover differential and only Atlanta has a positive turnover
differential. (Archives Home)